13 posts tagged “results”.
Rolling archive of ZenHodl's weekly live Polymarket results — record, per-sport P&L and win rate for every week, losing weeks included.
Corrected: our Polymarket trading bots are not profitable in aggregate. See the full retraction and per-market-type P&L breakdown, kept for reference.
ZenHodl's calibrated win probabilities vs Polymarket's market odds across 5,000+ resolved games — where they agree, diverge, and what it means.
A year of live trading data on Polymarket — what it reveals about sports prediction market efficiency, where systematic mispricing persists, and where the...
Why the pre-committed NBA Playoffs benchmark starts at the Conference Semis: adding First Round after tip-off would un-freeze a frozen test.
We just announced and on-chain anchored a 7-week head-to-head benchmark: ZenHodl's NBA model vs the live Polymarket consensus, every Conference Semis...
Our April 2026 survey of selected prediction sources examined public calibration evidence. Read the dated findings, criteria and limits.
Our college basketball model backtested on all 5,345 non-tournament games of 2025-26: 68.2% accuracy, Brier 0.2064, ECE 4.39%, full reliability table.
An April 2026 snapshot of our Polymarket bots, plus a correction: the win rate and the on-chain claim were wrong. The live ledger is on /results.
Inside ZenHodl's NBA prediction engine: XGBoost models, team stats, real-time injury overlays, and isotonic calibration. How our ML system processes...
Our bots' architecture, plus a correction: this post once published a +$2,400 P&L that was never true. Real figure: -$217.75 over 2,214 live trades.
We audited every bot, found the gaps between backtest and live performance, and fixed them. CS2, NBA, MLB, LoL, and Tennis — five different problems, five...
Real P&L from 5 live Polymarket bots trading NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAAMB, CS2, LoL, Tennis, and Soccer. Honest about what works and what doesn't.