CLV Bet Grader beta

Did your bet actually beat the close?

Sportsbook bets here · Kalshi fills → the Kalshi grader

Win rate can be noisy over short samples. We grade a bet you already placed on Closing-Line Value — a market-relative price diagnostic — against the market's de-vigged closing price, from our own multi-book capture. We make zero claim your bet will win. A scorekeeper, not a tipster. No picks, ever.

1
Enter your bet
The team, the American odds you got, and the date.
2
We find the close
The de-vigged closing fair value across our books (Pinnacle preferred).
3
Compare the prices
See whether your entry finished ahead of, at, or behind the recorded close.

No bet handy? Try an example from a real game →

Moneyline only · MLB · NBA · NHL · NCAAMB · games since Mar 28, 2026.

Paste a tracker export

From DraftKings, FanDuel, Pikkit, or any spreadsheet with a team, odds, and date column. We grade moneyline bets on MLB / NBA / NHL / NCAAMB since Mar 28, 2026 — spreads, totals, props, parlays, and other sports are skipped with a reason, never counted against you.

Your CLV scorecard will build here

Grade a bet above and it's saved to a running scorecard — average CLV and how often you beat the close. Stored in this browser only.

CLV is not a profit guarantee. It is one market-relative diagnostic whose usefulness depends on a consistent pregame close, representative sampling, and reliable odds capture. Read the calibration context. We don't sell picks; this only grades bets you've already made.

We grade against the de-vigged closing fair value, so beating it means you beat the market and the vig. Most flat bettors run slightly negative — that's the honest baseline, and exactly what win rate hides.

Beta coverage: MLB · NBA · NHL · NCAAMB, games since 2026-03-28. The "closing line" is the last quote before first pitch (Pinnacle preferred, consensus otherwise). We just added a first-pitch cutoff that drops in-play prices from the close — newer grades use it; a few older ones may still reflect early in-game moves while we backfill start times. Your journal is saved in this browser only.