13 posts tagged “results”.
Rolling archive of ZenHodl's weekly live Polymarket results — record, per-sport P&L and win rate for every week, losing weeks included.
Corrected: our Polymarket trading bots are not profitable in aggregate. See the full retraction and per-market-type P&L breakdown, kept for reference.
ZenHodl's calibrated win probabilities vs Polymarket's market odds across 5,000+ resolved games — where they agree, diverge, and what it means.
A year of live trading data on Polymarket — what it reveals about sports prediction market efficiency, where systematic mispricing persists, and where the...
Why the pre-committed NBA Playoffs benchmark starts at the Conference Semis: adding First Round after tip-off would un-freeze a frozen test.
We just announced and on-chain anchored a 7-week head-to-head benchmark: ZenHodl's NBA model vs the live Polymarket consensus, every Conference Semis...
We surveyed 21 sports prediction providers — KenPom, BetQL, Sportradar, FiveThirtyEight, MoneyPuck, OddsJam, and 15 others — for the one number a...
Our college basketball model backtested on all 5,345 non-tournament games of 2025-26: 68.2% accuracy, Brier 0.2064, ECE 4.39%, full reliability table.
An April 2026 snapshot of our Polymarket bots, plus a correction: the win rate and the on-chain claim were wrong. The live ledger is on /results.
Inside ZenHodl's NBA prediction engine: XGBoost models, team stats, real-time injury overlays, and isotonic calibration. How our ML system processes...
Our bots' architecture, plus a correction: this post once published a +$2,400 P&L that was never true. Real figure: -$217.75 over 2,214 live trades.
We audited every bot, found the gaps between backtest and live performance, and fixed them. CS2, NBA, MLB, LoL, and Tennis — five different problems, five...
Real P&L from 5 live Polymarket bots trading NBA, MLB, NHL, NCAAMB, CS2, LoL, Tennis, and Soccer. Honest about what works and what doesn't.