Live — auto-refreshes every 60s
Resultados de trading en vivo Results
Operaciones reales. Dinero real. Se actualiza cada 60s. 2026-03-09 to 2026-05-21.
Filtered Public Ledger
|
Start: March 9, 2026
|
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Reconciliation: 15 stale
|
739 excluded rows
1386 resolved trades
·
49.4% WR
·
Bot-attributed only · Backfill + shadow excluded · On-chain wallet
Every trade below is logged on-chain. Get the signals that produce them.
1386 resolved trades · 49.4% win rate · $-73.08 net P&L · 7-day free trial, no CC required
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ZenHodl Weekly
Recibe el resumen semanal del ledger y una idea del modelo.
Un correo semanal con resultados en vivo, una idea del modelo y novedades del producto.
Hecho para personas que siguen el ledger en vivo, no spam genérico de apuestas.
Live trades are executed on Polymarket's blockchain
This is a filtered view of bot-attributed trades only, starting March 9, 2026. Manual and backfilled entries are excluded.
The on-chain wallet contains all wallet activity including manual trades, test transactions, and other operations. This page shows a subset. For full wallet history, use PolygonScan .
Wallet: 0xc2a2D9267F13A7eFb2B1B527eCB4D8240a7823a0 (Gnosis Safe v1.3.0)
Live Trading Results (Real Money)
The chart above is live trade data
Worst day: $-31.64. We show it anyway.
A system that only shows wins is selling you something. Every signal that produced these trades is available via our API.
See Live Signals →
All
ATP
CS2
FLOW
LOL
MLB
NBA
NCAAMB
NCAAWB
NHL
SOCCER
TENNIS
WTA
By Sport
Sport
Trades
W
L
Win Rate
c/Trade
Net P&L
TENNIS
6
6
0
100.0%
+35.0c
$21.96
NHL
106
64
42
60.4%
+2.0c
$10.08
NBA
43
17
26
39.5%
-18.9c
$8.72
NCAAMB
4
4
0
100.0%
+27.2c
$4.85
FLOW
0
0
0
0%
+0.0c
$0.00
MLB
255
145
110
56.9%
+0.3c
$-1.44
SOCCER
71
26
45
36.6%
-7.4c
$-10.03
NCAAWB
4
3
1
75.0%
+20.0c
$-12.99
LOL
127
59
68
46.5%
+0.0c
$-17.57
WTA
254
132
122
52.0%
-0.2c
$-21.71
ATP
213
88
125
41.3%
-3.6c
$-22.01
CS2
303
140
163
46.2%
-4.8c
$-32.94
By Strategy
Bot
Trades
Win Rate
c/Trade
Net P&L
moneyline_wp
412
56.6%
-0.8c
$9.22
flow_check
0
0%
+0.0c
$0.00
soccer_wp
71
36.6%
-7.4c
$-10.03
lol
127
46.5%
+0.0c
$-17.57
tennis_wp
473
47.8%
-1.3c
$-21.76
cs2
303
46.2%
-4.8c
$-32.94
Weekly
Week
Trades
W
L
Win Rate
Net P&L
2026-W21
109
44
65
40.4%
$-12.45
2026-W20
224
117
107
52.2%
$29.29
2026-W19
331
165
166
49.8%
$-48.59
2026-W18
62
14
48
22.6%
$-68.58
2026-W17
161
64
97
39.8%
$-61.94
2026-W16
138
67
71
48.6%
$-1.37
2026-W15
200
117
83
58.5%
$11.57
2026-W14
146
85
61
58.2%
$76.07
2026-W13
8
6
2
75.0%
$-2.78
2026-W11
7
5
2
71.4%
$5.70
Open Positions
1 Open Positions
Time
Bot
Sport
Team
Event
Entry
Fair
Edge
Size
Tx
01:27
moneyline_wp
MLB
kansascityroyals
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
56c
68c
+14c
2.0
Distinct live positions only. Multiple fills on the same market are grouped into one position from 17 unresolved fills.
Awaiting Settlement
16 Awaiting Settlement
Age
Bot
Sport
Team
Event
Size
Status
2.4d
flow_check
FLOW
X
e
1.0
Unresolved for over 24h
21.6d
tennis_wp
WTA
R. Sramkova
La Bisbal: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebecca Sramkova
2.1
Unresolved for over 24h
46.1d
moneyline_wp
NHL
capitals
Sabres vs. Capitals
5.2
Unresolved for over 24h
46.1d
lol
LOL
Sentinels
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stag
2.9
Unresolved for over 24h
46.3d
cs2
CS2
BIG
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3
2.1
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
lol
LOL
LOUD
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Sea
1.4
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
cs2
CS2
RED Canids
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gaimin Gladiators (B
2.1
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
cs2
CS2
WW Team
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN
3.2
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
cs2
CS2
Galorys
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Galorys
2.1
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
cs2
CS2
eLITenergy
Counter-Strike: eLITenergy vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL C
2.1
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
cs2
CS2
HEROIC Academy
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HEROIC Academy (BO
3.2
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
soccer_wp
SOCCER
home
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901
3.5
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
cs2
CS2
LFO
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs LFO (BO3) - CCT Europe Co
2.1
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
lol
LOL
Team Vitality
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Re
2.8
Unresolved for over 24h
46.4d
tennis_wp
ATP
Burruchaga R.
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin
2.1
Unresolved for over 24h
46.5d
cs2
CS2
Legacy
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL B
2.1
Unresolved for over 24h
These rows are unresolved in the ledger but no longer treated as active exposure on the page.
Recent Trades
Date
Bot
Sport
Team
Entry
Fair
Edge
Size
P&L
W/L
Tx
2026-05-21
moneyline_wp
MLB pittsburghpirates
71c
82c
+13c
2.0
$0.58
W
Fair WP: 82c
Entry: 71c
Edge: +13c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $0.58
2026-05-21
lol
LOL Conviction
30c
40c
+12c
3.7
$-1.11
L
-
Fair WP: 40c
Entry: 30c
Edge: +12c
Bot: lol
Event: LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction (BO3) - North Americ
Side: BUY
Size: 3.7
P&L: $-1.11
2026-05-20
lol
LOL Winthrop University
27c
45c
+18c
3.7
$2.70
W
-
Fair WP: 45c
Entry: 27c
Edge: +18c
Bot: lol
Event: LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North Americ
Side: BUY
Size: 3.7
P&L: $2.70
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB arizonadiamondbacks
53c
65c
+14c
2.0
$0.94
W
Fair WP: 65c
Entry: 53c
Edge: +14c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $0.94
2026-05-20
cs2
CS2 ALGO Esports
41c
64c
+23c
3.1
$-1.29
L
Fair WP: 64c
Entry: 41c
Edge: +23c
Bot: cs2
Event: Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - BC Ga
Side: BUY
Size: 3.1
P&L: $-1.29
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB coloradorockies
51c
63c
+14c
2.0
$-1.02
L
Fair WP: 63c
Entry: 51c
Edge: +14c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $-1.02
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB cincinnatireds
62c
89c
+29c
2.0
$0.76
W
Fair WP: 89c
Entry: 62c
Edge: +29c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $0.76
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB tampabayrays
34c
46c
+14c
3.0
$1.98
W
Fair WP: 46c
Entry: 34c
Edge: +14c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Side: BUY
Size: 3.0
P&L: $1.98
2026-05-20
lol
LOL Karmine Corp Blue
46c
59c
+13c
2.2
$-1.00
L
-
Fair WP: 59c
Entry: 46c
Edge: +13c
Bot: lol
Event: LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs
Side: BUY
Size: 2.2
P&L: $-1.00
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Lucrezia Stefanini
33c
34c
+4c
4.0
$-1.32
L
-
Fair WP: 34c
Entry: 33c
Edge: +4c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Lucrezi
Side: BUY
Size: 4.0
P&L: $-1.32
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Maria Lourdes Carle
29c
53c
+25c
4.3
$3.04
W
-
Fair WP: 53c
Entry: 29c
Edge: +25c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Mar
Side: BUY
Size: 4.3
P&L: $3.04
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Anhelina Kalinina
51c
56c
+2c
2.2
$1.10
W
-
Fair WP: 56c
Entry: 51c
Edge: +2c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anh
Side: BUY
Size: 2.2
P&L: $1.10
2026-05-20
lol
LOL Bushido Wildcats
48c
69c
+21c
2.1
$1.08
W
-
Fair WP: 69c
Entry: 48c
Edge: +21c
Bot: lol
Event: LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffs
Side: BUY
Size: 2.1
P&L: $1.08
2026-05-20
cs2
CS2 Hashiras
41c
64c
+23c
3.1
$1.86
W
Fair WP: 64c
Entry: 41c
Edge: +23c
Bot: cs2
Event: Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed
Side: BUY
Size: 3.1
P&L: $1.86
2026-05-20
lol
LOL TeamOrangeGaming
55c
60c
+8c
1.9
$0.86
W
-
Fair WP: 60c
Entry: 55c
Edge: +8c
Bot: lol
Event: LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO5) - Pr
Side: BUY
Size: 1.9
P&L: $0.86
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Viktoriya Tomova
31c
58c
+30c
4.0
$-1.24
L
-
Fair WP: 58c
Entry: 31c
Edge: +30c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Polina Kudermetova vs Vikt
Side: BUY
Size: 4.0
P&L: $-1.24
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Emma Navarro
28c
32c
+7c
4.0
$2.88
W
-
Fair WP: 32c
Entry: 28c
Edge: +7c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic
Side: BUY
Size: 4.0
P&L: $2.88
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Janice Tjen
25c
33c
+8c
4.5
$-1.12
L
-
Fair WP: 33c
Entry: 25c
Edge: +8c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Janice Tjen vs Camila Osor
Side: BUY
Size: 4.5
P&L: $-1.12
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Claire Liu
68c
72c
+4c
2.1
$0.67
W
-
Fair WP: 72c
Entry: 68c
Edge: +4c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Ka
Side: BUY
Size: 2.1
P&L: $0.67
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Emiliana Arango
29c
61c
+35c
4.0
$-1.16
L
-
Fair WP: 61c
Entry: 29c
Edge: +35c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bo
Side: BUY
Size: 4.0
P&L: $-1.16
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Wang Xiyu
90c
90c
+0c
2.0
$0.20
W
-
Fair WP: 90c
Entry: 90c
Edge: +0c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Storm Hunter vs Xiyu Wang
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $0.20
2026-05-20
tennis_wp
WTA Dominika Salkova
70c
71c
+1c
2.1
$-1.46
L
-
Fair WP: 71c
Entry: 70c
Edge: +1c
Bot: tennis_wp
Event: Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Susan
Side: BUY
Size: 2.1
P&L: $-1.46
2026-05-20
lol
LOL T1
75c
83c
+8c
1.3
$0.34
W
-
Fair WP: 83c
Entry: 75c
Edge: +8c
Bot: lol
Event: LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Side: BUY
Size: 1.3
P&L: $0.34
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB sanfranciscogiants
70c
84c
+16c
2.0
$-1.40
L
Fair WP: 84c
Entry: 70c
Edge: +16c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $-1.40
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB sandiegopadres
58c
72c
+16c
2.0
$-1.16
L
Fair WP: 72c
Entry: 58c
Edge: +16c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $-1.16
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB athletics
73c
84c
+13c
2.0
$0.54
W
Fair WP: 84c
Entry: 73c
Edge: +13c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $0.54
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB pittsburghpirates
38c
64c
+28c
3.0
$-1.14
L
Fair WP: 64c
Entry: 38c
Edge: +28c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Side: BUY
Size: 3.0
P&L: $-1.14
2026-05-20
moneyline_wp
MLB torontobluejays
46c
77c
+33c
3.0
$-1.38
L
Fair WP: 77c
Entry: 46c
Edge: +33c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Side: BUY
Size: 3.0
P&L: $-1.38
2026-05-19
moneyline_wp
MLB detroittigers
47c
58c
+13c
3.0
$-1.41
L
Fair WP: 58c
Entry: 47c
Edge: +13c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
Side: BUY
Size: 3.0
P&L: $-1.41
2026-05-19
moneyline_wp
MLB philadelphiaphillies
50c
60c
+12c
2.0
$-1.00
L
Fair WP: 60c
Entry: 50c
Edge: +12c
Bot: moneyline_wp
Event: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Side: BUY
Size: 2.0
P&L: $-1.00
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Backtest Validation (2025-26 Season)
Simulated
What the v3 model would have traded this season using real ESPN game data. ESPN WP as market proxy + 0.5c spread, 2c fee + 1c slippage, hold to settlement. Subsampled every 5th row (25s polling), deduped, max 3/game. Full methodology in our research paper .
Sport
Trades
W
Win Rate
c/Trade
Net P&L
NCAAMB
1237
948
76.6%
+9.3c
$78.55
NCAAWB
864
572
66.2%
+2.2c
$-6.68
NBA
238
146
61.3%
+3.9c
$2.17
NFL
286
166
58.0%
-1.0c
$-11.35
1386 trades ·
49.4% win rate ·
Verified on
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Data source: trades.jsonl written by live bots. Excludes shadow mode and backfill entries.
P&L is net of Polymarket fees. Updates automatically when trades resolve.
2026-03-09 to 2026-05-21 · 1386 resolved · 1 open positions · 16 awaiting settlement