Polymarket vs Kalshi MLB Data — Matched Order Books

Download MLB Polymarket and Kalshi top-of-book quotes with nearest alignment within 30 seconds. Partial coverage and unresolved labels are documented.

Full schema & known gaps →· Sold as-is — but if a file is broken or won't open, email [email protected] and we'll send a fixed file or refund you. No hassle.

Test the same schema with the $9 MLB tryout — 25,914 sampled quote rows across 28 dated games (26 settled, 2 unresolved). Review its coverage before buying.

Artifact vintage: the product page and shipped documentation state the exact coverage, row counts and known limitations. A purchase delivers the advertised frozen artifact; no future refresh is promised unless the checkout terms explicitly say so.

MLB 2026 Observed partial coverage

Declared season scope; individual event-to-season mapping is unverified. This is not a complete-season archive.

MLB 2026 · Phase coverage not specified

Book samples:
2026-06-21T00:00:27.733581Z → 2026-09-30T20:37:34.024713Z
Artifact vintage:
start unknown → 2026-10-02

UTC timestamps retain their recorded precision; dates alone identify UTC days. Vintage, observation and sports event times are separate. Capture time does not establish exchange quote freshness.

Sports event starts: start unknown → end unknown. Event dates are not inferred from these quote capture windows.

Coverage qualifications
  • Collection tags describe the declared product scope; exact fixture-season assignment is unverified.
  • Coverage of other competitions or editions is unassigned; this filter does not partition or verify individual rows.
  • Declared season scope; individual event-to-season mapping is unverified
  • Season phase coverage has not been declared
  • Complete-season fixture denominator has not been verified

Why the capture contract matters

Venue APIs expose useful live books, trades and price history, but they do not serve the same historical snapshot and game-context archive packaged here. Data that was not recorded during the live window cannot be recreated from a current-book endpoint later. The exact fields, cadence, venue coverage and limitations vary by product, so this page and the shipped documentation state the contract explicitly instead of calling every file complete or tick-level.

What's in the dataset

Dated snapshot: 1,394,808 total rows · book samples 2026-06-21T00:00:27.733581Z through 2026-09-30T20:37:34.024713Z · artifact vintage 2026-10-02; separate from observation times

Inspect Polymarket–Kalshi matched MLB data

Compare recorded venue midpoints for a dated matchup and represented team. The paid archive pairs a Polymarket sample with the nearest Kalshi sample within ±30 seconds; that Kalshi observation can be later. This is retrospective nearest alignment, not a backward-only as-of join or an execution backtest.

Download the free ARI/MIN matched MLB CSV as mlb_matched_sample_ARI-MIN_2026-06-21.csv. This standard-library example uses its actual columns:

import csv
from decimal import Decimal

with open("mlb_matched_sample_ARI-MIN_2026-06-21.csv", newline="", encoding="utf-8-sig") as handle:
    rows = list(csv.DictReader(handle))

for row in rows[:5]:
    gap = Decimal(row["poly_mid"]) - Decimal(row["kalshi_mid"])
    print(row["date"], row["game"], row["team"],
          "recorded midpoint difference (dollars/share)", gap)

Both venues' quote fields use the 0–1 dollar convention. The computed difference corresponds to xvenue_spread; it is not executable profit. The free single-game sample does not verify the corrected paid archive's capture window, mappings or labels. Use the current matched archive schema and methodology for its dated-key, doubleheader, complement-derived outcome and unresolved-label rules.

Neither sample time nor nearest alignment establishes quote freshness or a fill. For a causal study, separately establish what information was available before each decision; these columns do not expose exchange freshness timestamps. Review the related matched-book research and compare the separate MLB matched-book tryout before buying the larger archive.

Research uses for this dataset

Cross-venue quote comparison

Compare sampled prices with the nearest-time join offset; this archive alone does not establish which venue moved first.

Quoted spread research

Inspect sampled bids and asks with freshness and one-sided-book limitations; quoted gaps are not demonstrated fills or profit.

Outcome-aware studies

Group quote behavior by the finalized market result without building a separate settlement join.

Coverage-aware backtests

Use the manifest and per-day counts to keep missing capture windows out of the test set.

See the real rows before you buy

We publish real sample rows — not a marketing mockup. Load them in DuckDB, inspect the schema and coverage contract, then decide.

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