Kalshi Sports Markets — Settled Outcomes Layer

Outcome records for 2,621 Kalshi sports games, including 1,990 settled. Join compatible quote captures on game_id; unresolved games stay explicit.

Full schema & known gaps →· Sold as-is — but if a file is broken or won't open, email [email protected] and we'll send a fixed file or refund you. No hassle.

Inspect the free sample rows and schemas before buying.

Artifact vintage: the product page and shipped documentation state the exact coverage, row counts and known limitations. A purchase delivers the advertised frozen artifact; no future refresh is promised unless the checkout terms explicitly say so.

Season scope not verified Observed partial coverage

A competition season has not been verified for this archive. This is not a complete-season archive.

Book samples:
start unknown → end unknown

UTC timestamps retain their recorded precision; dates alone identify UTC days. Vintage, observation and sports event times are separate. Capture time does not establish exchange quote freshness.

Sports event starts: start unknown → end unknown. Event dates are not inferred from these quote capture windows.

Coverage qualifications
  • No season scope declared in the archive manifest
  • Complete-season fixture denominator has not been verified

Why the capture contract matters

Venue APIs expose useful live books, trades and price history, but they do not serve the same historical snapshot and game-context archive packaged here. Data that was not recorded during the live window cannot be recreated from a current-book endpoint later. The exact fields, cadence, venue coverage and limitations vary by product, so this page and the shipped documentation state the contract explicitly instead of calling every file complete or tick-level.

What's in the dataset

2,621 games · 1,990 settled (final score + winner) · 7 sports captured · includes 5-game tick sample + quickstart

Research uses for this dataset

Attach outcome labels

Join finalized winners and scores to Kalshi market observations using the documented game identifier.

Validate backtests

Exclude unsettled or unmatched markets instead of silently turning missing outcomes into losses.

Study calibration

Compare historical market probabilities with binary outcomes over an explicit captured universe.

Audit resolution coverage

Measure which captured games have a settlement row before reporting a record.

See the real rows before you buy

We publish real sample rows — not a marketing mockup. Load them in DuckDB, inspect the schema and coverage contract, then decide.

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