Live and pregame fair value for today's games, shown beside the best prices we can see across Polymarket, Kalshi and sportsbooks. Use it as a line-shopping and price-discovery reference, not a promise of profit.
| Matchup | Our fair (home) | Fair ML home | Fair ML away | Best available price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
TOR @ CHC
2026-06-19T18:20:00Z
|
50% / 50% | -101 | 101 |
DraftKings 100
2c below our fair on TOR
|
|
CWS @ DET
2026-06-19T22:40:00Z
|
49% / 51% | 103 | -103 |
FanDuel 205
19c below our fair on CWS
|
|
CIN @ NYY
2026-06-19T23:05:00Z
|
61% / 39% | -155 | 155 |
BetOnline 230
10c below our fair on CIN
|
|
WSH @ TB
2026-06-19T23:10:00Z
|
52% / 48% | -106 | 106 |
Bovada 108
2c below our fair on WSH
|
|
SF @ MIA
2026-06-19T23:10:00Z
|
57% / 43% | -134 | 134 | — |
|
MIL @ ATL
2026-06-19T23:15:00Z
|
51% / 49% | -104 | 104 |
FanDuel 146
12c below our fair on ATL
|
|
SD @ TEX
2026-06-20T00:05:00Z
|
52% / 48% | -108 | 108 |
BetMGM 135
8c below our fair on SD
|
|
CLE @ HOU
2026-06-20T00:10:00Z
|
50% / 50% | -101 | 101 |
BetOnline 111
3c below our fair on CLE
|
|
STL @ KC
2026-06-20T00:15:00Z
|
48% / 52% | 107 | -107 |
BetOnline 113
3c below our fair on KC
|
|
PIT @ COL
2026-06-20T00:40:00Z
|
49% / 51% | 104 | -104 |
BetMGM 118
5c below our fair on COL
|
|
LAA @ ATH
2026-06-20T01:40:00Z
|
53% / 47% | -115 | 115 |
BetMGM 3300
44c below our fair on LAA
|
|
MIN @ AZ
2026-06-20T01:45:00Z
|
54% / 46% | -116 | 116 |
FanDuel 144
7c below our fair on MIN
|
|
BAL @ LAD
2026-06-20T02:10:00Z
|
56% / 44% | -129 | 129 |
Bovada 161
7c below our fair on BAL
|
|
BOS @ SEA
2026-06-20T02:10:00Z
|
54% / 46% | -116 | 116 |
BetMGM 110
1c below our fair on BOS
|
The board shows fair value and matched venue prices when quotes are available. Paid subscribers get real-time Discord alerts when DraftKings, FanDuel, Polymarket or Kalshi drifts away from this fair-value reference.
Fair value is our calibrated model's pregame win probability, converted to a no-vig price. It is benchmarked against sharp market prices and audited on-chain — but it is a price-discovery reference, not a profit guarantee. Trading involves risk of loss. 18+ (21+ where required).