WTA Model: Week 25 Analysis
Our WTA model identified 68 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 37W-31L for +$5.76 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 54.4%
- Average edge: 1.8c per trade
- Net P&L: +$5.76
Example Trades
- Katarzyna Kawa: 68c entry, Won (+$0.67)
- Zeynep Sonmez: 88c entry, Won (+$0.25)
- Antonia Ruzic: 78c entry, Won (+$0.46)
How the WTA Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.