WTA Model: Week 21 Analysis
Our WTA model identified 62 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 41W-21L for +$21.65 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 66.1%
- Average edge: 13.0c per trade
- Net P&L: +$21.65
Example Trades
- Lois Boisson: 42c entry, Won (+$1.86)
- Emma Navarro: 64c entry, Won (+$0.76)
- Dalila Spiteri: 39c entry, Lost (-$1.29)
How the WTA Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.