WNBA Model: Week 26 Analysis
Our WNBA model identified 19 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 8W-11L for -$0.90 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 42.1%
- Average edge: -0.6c per trade
- Net P&L: -$0.90
Example Trades
- newyorkliberty: 68c entry, Lost (-$1.42)
- washingtonmystics: 28c entry, Won (+$3.23)
- goldenstatevalkyries: 43c entry, Lost (-$1.38)
How the WNBA Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so its output is an independent fair-value reference to compare against the market, not a guaranteed profit signal.