WNBA Model: Week 25 Analysis
Our WNBA model identified 15 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 4W-11L for -$7.48 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 26.7%
- Average edge: -9.9c per trade
- Net P&L: -$7.48
Example Trades
- torontotempo: 32c entry, Lost (-$1.05)
- losangelessparks: 54c entry, Won (+$0.97)
- portlandfire: 46c entry, Won (+$1.70)
How the WNBA Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.