Week 25 Trading Results
Our ML models traded 179 positions across 5 sports this week, with a 50.8% win rate and -$18.89 net P&L.
Every trade is executed on Polymarket and verified on-chain.
Performance by Sport
| Sport | Trades | Record | Win Rate | c/Trade | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA | 68 | 37W-31L | 54.4% | 1.8c | +$5.76 |
| NHL | 3 | 0W-3L | 0.0% | -42.0c | -$3.46 |
| MLB | 63 | 34W-29L | 54.0% | -3.4c | -$6.10 |
| WNBA | 15 | 4W-11L | 26.7% | -9.9c | -$7.48 |
| CS2 | 30 | 16W-14L | 53.3% | -10.8c | -$7.61 |
Notable Wins
- Lucrezia Stefanini (WTA): Bought at 25c, fair value 30c, edge +5c
- Laura Samson (WTA): Bought at 25c, fair value 29c, edge +4c
- Elena-Gabriela Ruse (WTA): Bought at 26c, fair value 29c, edge +3c
How It Works
Our models are trained on 60,000+ historical games and predict fair win probability from game state alone — score, time, period, Elo ratings. When our fair probability exceeds the market ask by 8c+, we buy and hold to settlement.