Week 24 Trading Results
Our ML models traded 51 positions across 7 sports this week, with a 51.0% win rate and -$0.61 net P&L.
Every trade is executed on Polymarket and verified on-chain.
Performance by Sport
| Sport | Trades | Record | Win Rate | c/Trade | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CS2 | 9 | 7W-2L | 77.8% | 20.2c | +$2.60 |
| LOL | 2 | 2W-0L | 100.0% | 49.0c | +$2.22 |
| NHL | 2 | 1W-1L | 50.0% | -7.5c | +$0.32 |
| ATP | 5 | 3W-2L | 60.0% | 1.0c | -$1.01 |
| MLB | 27 | 12W-15L | 44.4% | -10.0c | -$1.01 |
| WTA | 4 | 1W-3L | 25.0% | -9.2c | -$1.45 |
| WNBA | 2 | 0W-2L | 0.0% | -25.5c | -$2.28 |
Notable Wins
- arizonadiamondbacks (MLB): Bought at 28c, fair value 27c, edge +1c
- houstonastros (MLB): Bought at 32c, fair value 44c, edge +14c
- miamimarlins (MLB): Bought at 33c, fair value 32c, edge +0c
How It Works
Our models are trained on 60,000+ historical games and predict fair win probability from game state alone — score, time, period, Elo ratings. When our fair probability exceeds the market ask by 8c+, we buy and hold to settlement.