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2 posts tagged “ncaamb”.

ncaamb results calibration

Our NCAAMB Model's 2025-26 Season Report: 5,345 Games Backtested, 68.2% Accuracy, ECE 4.39%

Our college basketball model backtested on all 5,345 non-tournament games of 2025-26: 68.2% accuracy, Brier 0.2064, ECE 4.39%, full reliability table.
ncaamb backtesting calibration

We Backtested Our Model on the 2026 March Madness Bracket. It Hit 71.6%.

Our NCAAMB model replayed all 67 games of March Madness 2026 on pre-tournament data: 48 correct (71.6%), 3-for-3 on the Final Four. Every miss listed.