SOCCER Model: Week 15 Analysis
Our SOCCER model identified 3 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 2W-1L for +$1.11 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 66.7%
- Average edge: 7.0c per trade
- Net P&L: +$1.11
Example Trades
- home: 38c entry, Won (+$1.63)
- home: 41c entry, Lost (-$1.02)
- home: 67c entry, Won (+$0.50)
How the SOCCER Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.