SOCCER Model: Week 22 Analysis
Our SOCCER model identified 15 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 10W-5L for +$2.86 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 66.7%
- Average edge: 19.1c per trade
- Net P&L: +$2.86
Example Trades
- home: 58c entry, Won (+$0.42)
- home: 55c entry, Won (+$0.45)
- home: 68c entry, Lost (-$0.68)
How the SOCCER Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.