Counter-Strike 2 Model: Week 16 Analysis
Our Counter-Strike 2 model identified 29 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 11W-18L for -$12.84 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 37.9%
- Average edge: -18.8c per trade
- Net P&L: -$12.84
Example Trades
- FarmVille: 65c entry, Lost (-$1.36)
- Young Tigeres: 49c entry, Lost (-$1.04)
- Astralis: 67c entry, Won (+$0.70)
How the Counter-Strike 2 Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.