Counter-Strike 2 Model: Week 15 Analysis
Our Counter-Strike 2 model identified 44 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 19W-25L for +$1.65 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 43.2%
- Average edge: 4.2c per trade
- Net P&L: +$1.65
Example Trades
- Zomblers: 49c entry, Lost (-$1.47)
- Zomblers: 52c entry, Lost (-$1.04)
- paiN Academy: 52c entry, Lost (-$1.08)
How the Counter-Strike 2 Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.