No-Vig / Devig Calculator

Enter both sides of a two-way market. We divide each implied probability by their sum to calculate a proportional no-vig reference and show the implied overround.

Both Sides of the Market

Side A
Side B

No-Vig Fair Value

Side A — Fair Probability
Side B — Fair Probability
Implied Overround
How much the two prices overround past 100%.
Raw Implied (with vig)

Multiplicative devig divides each raw implied probability by their sum. At -110 / -110, the sum is 104.76% and the normalized reference is 50% / 50%. This overround is not a measured bookmaker profit margin.

Why devig, and how to use it

The two implied probabilities can sum above, below, or exactly to 100%. This tool reports that difference and normalizes both sides. The result depends on a proportional margin assumption; it does not independently establish an outcome probability or positive expected value.

Use it to
  • Turn a sharp book's two-way line into a no-vig fair probability
  • Compare normalized reference prices across quotes
  • Sanity-check a Polymarket / Kalshi price against a sportsbook
  • Measure the sum of the quoted implied probabilities
Keep in mind
  • Multiplicative devig assumes vig is split proportionally
  • Other normalization methods can produce different references
  • Normalization preserves errors in the underlying quotes
  • No-vig fair value is a reference, not a guarantee

Inspect our measured evidence

ZenHodl publishes a CLV retraction and placebo tests showing why a near-resolution closing reference can encode the eventual outcome. Our Edge Finder compares model probabilities with available venue prices; that gap alone does not establish a profitable strategy.

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