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Beginner Articles

11 posts tagged “beginner”.

polymarket bonuses kalshi

Polymarket Referral Rewards: International and US Credit Rules

Separate International referrer fee-sharing from Polymarket US promotional trading credits. No invented welcome amount, airdrop or deposit-bonus claim.

kalshi bonuses tutorial

How to Sign Up for Kalshi: Verification and Funding Checks

Use Kalshi’s current eligibility, identity and bank-deposit documentation. Separate account approval, trading balance, settled funds and referral conditions.

polymarket beginner tutorial

Polymarket for First-Time Users: Choose US or International First

Identify the correct Polymarket product before following account or funding instructions. Then read its fees, bid/ask prices and settlement rules.

api prediction-markets calibration

What Is a Sports Prediction API? A 2026 Practical Explainer

Plain-English guide to sports prediction APIs in 2026 — what they return, how authentication and rate limits work, what calibration means, and how to...

sports-betting betting-math beginner

How to Convert Betting Odds: American, Decimal, Fractional & Probability

Convert American, decimal and fractional odds with worked examples. Distinguish break-even implied probability, no-vig estimates and actual costs.

prediction-markets sports-betting beginner

How Prediction Markets Work for Sports: A 2026 Beginner's Guide

Understand $1 contracts, executable bids and asks, gross break-even probabilities, fees and settlement rules using a hypothetical sports example.

nba python machine-learning

Build a Calibrated NBA Win Probability Model in Python

Train and evaluate a calibrated NBA win probability model in Python using play-by-play game states, walk-forward validation, XGBoost and isotonic regression.

infrastructure beginner

Running a Trading Bot for $13 a Month

Our trading stack runs on a $7/month VPS plus $5/month for odds. Full cost breakdown, plus a correction: the bot is not profitable (-$217.75 lifetime).

machine-learning python tutorial

Build an Elo Rating System from Scratch in Python

A complete step-by-step tutorial to implement an Elo rating system in Python for sports prediction. Covers the math, K-factor tuning, season resets, and...

sports-betting trading beginner

How Prediction Market Bots Work (And How to Build One)

A beginner's guide to automated trading on Polymarket. Learn how bots find edges using win probability models, and how to build your own.

machine-learning python tutorial

Elo Ratings for Sports Betting: A Complete Python Guide

How to implement Elo ratings from scratch in Python for sports prediction. Covers home advantage, K-factor tuning, and season resets.