NCAAWB Model: Week 15 Analysis
Our NCAAWB model identified 3 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 3W-0L for +$10.01 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 100.0%
- Average edge: 45.3c per trade
- Net P&L: +$10.01
Example Trades
- uclabruins: 67c entry, Won (+$1.70)
- uclabruins: 62c entry, Won (+$1.96)
- southcarolinagamecocks: 35c entry, Won (+$6.35)
How the NCAAWB Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.