NBA Basketball Model: Week 21 Analysis
Our NBA Basketball model identified 3 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 0W-3L for -$3.67 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 0.0%
- Average edge: -45.0c per trade
- Net P&L: -$3.67
Example Trades
- pistons: 48c entry, Lost (-$1.44)
- pistons: 53c entry, Lost (-$1.12)
- spurs: 34c entry, Lost (-$1.11)
How the NBA Basketball Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.