League of Legends Model: Week 22 Analysis
Our League of Legends model identified 25 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 11W-14L for +$1.15 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 44.0%
- Average edge: 3.8c per trade
- Net P&L: +$1.15
Example Trades
- Team Liquid Alienware: 35c entry, Won (+$1.86)
- FURIA: 25c entry, Lost (-$1.00)
- Cloud9 Kia: 25c entry, Lost (-$1.00)
How the League of Legends Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.