League of Legends Model: Week 16 Analysis
Our League of Legends model identified 23 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 10W-13L for -$0.22 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 43.5%
- Average edge: -1.9c per trade
- Net P&L: -$0.22
Example Trades
- KRX Challengers: 74c entry, Lost (-$1.00)
- Cloud9 Kia: 35c entry, Lost (-$1.02)
- Team Vitality: 70c entry, Won (+$0.43)
How the League of Legends Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.