Counter-Strike 2 Model: Week 25 Analysis
Our Counter-Strike 2 model identified 30 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 16W-14L for -$7.61 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 53.3%
- Average edge: -10.8c per trade
- Net P&L: -$7.61
Example Trades
- Falcons: 70c entry, Won (+$0.63)
- INFINITE: 59c entry, Won (+$0.86)
- FUT: 68c entry, Won (+$0.67)
How the Counter-Strike 2 Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.