Week 26 Trading Results
Our ML models traded 90 positions across 5 sports this week, with a 47.8% win rate and -$10.66 net P&L.
Every trade is executed on Polymarket and verified on-chain.
Performance by Sport
| Sport | Trades | Record | Win Rate | c/Trade | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA | 11 | 6W-5L | 54.5% | 6.4c | -$0.80 |
| WNBA | 19 | 8W-11L | 42.1% | -0.6c | -$0.90 |
| MLB | 52 | 28W-24L | 53.8% | -0.4c | -$0.95 |
| NHL | 1 | 0W-1L | 0.0% | -36.0c | -$1.17 |
| CS2 | 7 | 1W-6L | 14.3% | -36.3c | -$6.84 |
Notable Wins
- washingtonmystics (WNBA): Bought at 28c, fair value 32c, edge +8c
- atlantabraves (MLB): Bought at 28c, fair value 29c, edge +3c
- losangelesangels (MLB): Bought at 30c, fair value 29c, edge +0c
How It Works
Our models are trained on 60,000+ historical games and predict fair win probability from game state alone — score, time, period, Elo ratings. When our fair probability exceeds the market ask by 8c+, we buy and hold to settlement.