College Basketball Model: Week 15 Analysis
Our College Basketball model identified 4 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 4W-0L for +$4.85 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 100.0%
- Average edge: 27.2c per trade
- Net P&L: +$4.85
Example Trades
- connecticuthuskies: 77c entry, Won (+$0.92)
- oklahomasooners: 70c entry, Won (+$1.23)
- westvirginiamountaineers: 81c entry, Won (+$0.76)
How the College Basketball Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.