League of Legends Model: Week 19 Analysis
Our League of Legends model identified 6 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 1W-5L for -$14.72 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 16.7%
- Average edge: -32.7c per trade
- Net P&L: -$14.72
Example Trades
- GIANTX iTero: 42c entry, Lost (-$3.08)
- GIANTX iTero: 40c entry, Lost (-$3.44)
- GIANTX iTero: 41c entry, Lost (-$3.01)
How the League of Legends Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.