League of Legends Model: Week 18 Analysis
Our League of Legends model identified 24 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 11W-13L for -$12.99 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 45.8%
- Average edge: -4.7c per trade
- Net P&L: -$12.99
Example Trades
- Karmine Corp: 59c entry, Won (+$2.08)
- LOUD: 55c entry, Lost (-$3.17)
- Natus Vincere: 47c entry, Won (+$3.31)
How the League of Legends Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.