Counter-Strike 2 Model: Week 19 Analysis
Our Counter-Strike 2 model identified 7 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 3W-4L for -$2.42 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 42.9%
- Average edge: -0.4c per trade
- Net P&L: -$2.42
Example Trades
- Voca: 59c entry, Won (+$0.86)
- Voca: 58c entry, Won (+$0.88)
- paiN Academy: 7c entry, Lost (-$1.40)
How the Counter-Strike 2 Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.