Counter-Strike 2 Model: Week 18 Analysis
Our Counter-Strike 2 model identified 47 tradeable edges this week on Polymarket, going 16W-31L for -$17.01 net profit.
Results
- Win rate: 34.0%
- Average edge: -13.9c per trade
- Net P&L: -$17.01
Example Trades
- HEROIC: 38c entry, Lost (-$1.23)
- playersclub: 57c entry, Lost (-$1.20)
- DONSTU: 41c entry, Lost (-$1.32)
How the Counter-Strike 2 Model Works
The model predicts win probability from live game state — score differential, time remaining, period, and Elo ratings. It never sees market prices during training, so when it disagrees with the market by 8c+, that divergence is a real signal.